Prediction of Kirill Kivattsev vs Samuele Pieri at M25 Antalya 11-19-25

• In recent performance, Kirill Kivattsev has a stronger second serve, winning 46.37% of points compared to Samuele Pieri's 39.49%. Could this give Kirill an advantage in the upcoming match? Statistically, it might.
• When it comes to return game stats, Samuele Pieri edges out slightly on second serve returns, winning 45.86% of points in comparison to Kirill's 44.84%. However, Samuele is also stronger on first serve returns, capturing 29.16% of points versus Kirill's 26.09%.
• Kirill Kivattsev has a significant advantage in saving breakpoints, managing to save 53.85%, while Samuele Pieri saves 40.85%. Under pressure, Kirill's ability could be key.
• Their performance over the past year shows Kirill Kivattsev has a slight edge, with a win rate of 59.21% compared to Samuele Pieri's 58.33%.
• Surface preference differs; Samuele excels on clay with a 61% win rate, while Kirill is best on grass, also with 61% success.
• Within the same tournament level, Kirill wins slightly more, achieving a 62.12% win rate, whereas Samuele wins 59.32%.
• Samuele Pieri faces stronger opponents on average, as indicated by their opponents' average rank of 344.95 compared to Kirill's 406.61.
• In matches reaching a deciding set, Samuele is more successful, winning 45% of these compared to Kirill's 33% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance metrics, it is evident that Kirill Kivattsev holds a slight advantage in second serve points won, which can significantly impact the match's outcome. His ability to handle pressure, evidenced by a higher percentage of breakpoints saved, is also noteworthy.

Samuele Pieri, however, demonstrates resilience in matches requiring strong return games and deciding sets, giving him a fighting chance. His experience against higher-ranked players could provide the necessary edge in tactical situations.

While both players have demonstrated competence on their preferred surfaces, the deciding factor may rest on Kirill's overall match win rate and breakpoint management. Thus, Kirill Kivattsev is slightly favored to win this upcoming tennis match.